Name: Nowcasting The Business Cycle: A Practical Guide For Spotting Business Cycle Peaks (en Inglés)
Price: 81576.00 COP
Availability: InStock
Author: Picerno, James
ISBN: 9781492923855

portada Nowcasting The Business Cycle: A Practical Guide For Spotting Business Cycle Peaks (en Inglés)

Formato

Libro Físico

Autor

James Picerno

Editorial

Createspace Independent Publishing Platform

Idioma

Inglés

N° páginas

154

Encuadernación

Tapa Blanda

Dimensiones

22.9 x 15.2 x 0.8 cm

Peso

0.21 kg.

ISBN13

9781492923855

Categorías

Macroeconomía

Nowcasting The Business Cycle: A Practical Guide For Spotting Business Cycle Peaks (en Inglés)

James Picerno (Autor) · Createspace Independent Publishing Platform · Tapa Blanda

Libro Físico

$ 81.576

$ 125.502

Ahorras: $ 43.926

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Envío normal

Origen: Estados Unidos (Costos de importación incluídos en el precio)

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Reseña del libro "Nowcasting The Business Cycle: A Practical Guide For Spotting Business Cycle Peaks (en Inglés)"

Nowcasting The Business Cycle presents a practical guide for analyzing recession risk-the primary risk factor that drives success and failure in business, finance, wealth management, and so much more. Whether you're an individual investor watching over your retirement account; the owner of a small business; a manager running a billion-dollar pension fund; or a CEO in charge of a global corporation, a large portion of triumph and defeat is closely linked with the broad swings in the economy. The business cycle, in other words, is the mother of all known (and recurring) risk factors. Accordingly, developing a process for assessing the likelihood of this threat is critical. Everyone needs a reliable, timely warning system that's relatively uncomplicated and transparent. Drawing on economic theory and macro's historical record, Nowcasting The Business Cycle outlines a simple but effective model for identifying those times when a new recession has probably started. This isn't forecasting, which is a fool's errand when it comes to the economy. Instead, the goal is recognizing when a majority of key indicators have already reached a tipping point. That may sound like a trivial advantage, but most people-including many economists-don't fully recognize when a recession has begun until the deterioration is obvious. By that point, the opportunity has probably passed for taking defensive measures in your investment portfolio, your business, or your career. The real challenge is less about predicting and more about developing solid intuition for recognizing when the macro threat is exceptionally high. Even a small degree of progress here can provide a considerable boost to your strategic insight. If we can learn the techniques for recognizing a cyclical downturn's presence relatively early-soon after it's begun, or just as it's starting-we'll have an advantage that tends to elude most folks. Nowcasting The Business Cycle provides a roadmap for ensuring that you won't be caught by surprise when the next recession strikes. That's a crucial advantage for one powerful reason: There's always another recession coming.